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Leicester City v Aston Villa, Premier League 2015–16

LeicesterLeicester City

de Laet 72'Vardy 82'Dyer 89'

Final score 3 to 2

Expected goals 1.9 to 1.2

Full time

Aston VillaAston Villa

Grealish 39'Gil 63'

Win chances: Leicester favored. Leicester win 56%, draw 23%, Aston Villa win 21%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 13. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Leicester and Aston Villa
LeicesterAston Villa
1.91.2
3Goals2
1.80.9