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Leicester City v Watford, Premier League 2015–16

LeicesterLeicester City

Kanté 52'Vardy 65' penalty

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.8 to 1.3

Full time

WatfordWatford

Deeney 75' penalty

Win chances: Leicester favored. Leicester win 50%, draw 26%, Watford win 24%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 7. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Leicester and Watford
LeicesterWatford
1.81.3
2Goals1
1.71.1