Liverpool v Aston Villa, Premier League 2015–16
LiverpoolLiverpool
Milner 2'Sturridge 59', 67'
Final score 3 to 2
Expected goals 2.2 to 1.0
Aston VillaAston Villa
Gestede 66', 71'
- Date Saturday, September 26, 2015
- Premier League 2015–16
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 26. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 64%, draw 21%, Aston Villa win 15%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Liverpool | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||