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Manchester City v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2015–16

Man CityManchester City

Sterling 7', 29', 45+3'Bony 11', 89'

Final score 5 to 1

Expected goals 2.6 to 0.2

Full time

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Murray 22'

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 80%, draw 13%, Bournemouth win 7%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 17. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man City and Bournemouth
Man CityBournemouth
2.60.2
5Goals1
2.80.1