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Manchester City v Chelsea, Premier League 2015–16

Man CityManchester City

Agüero 31'Kompany 79'Fernandinho 85'

Final score 3 to 0

Expected goals 1.7 to 0.9

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 52%, draw 22%, Chelsea win 26%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 16. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man City and Chelsea
Man CityChelsea
1.70.9
3Goals0
1.90.8