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Manchester City v Swansea City, Premier League 2015–16

Man CityManchester City

Bony 26'Iheanacho 90+2'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 0.9 to 1.3

Full time

SwanseaSwansea City

Gomis 90'

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 73%, draw 16%, Swansea win 11%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man City and Swansea
Man CitySwansea
0.91.3
2Goals1
1.01.7