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Manchester United v Arsenal, Premier League 2015–16

Man UnitedManchester United

Rashford 29', 32'Herrera 65'

Final score 3 to 2

Expected goals 0.4 to 1.6

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Welbeck 40'Özil 69'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Man United win 33%, draw 28%, Arsenal win 39%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 28. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man United and Arsenal
Man UnitedArsenal
0.41.6
3Goals2
0.52.3