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Newcastle United v Aston Villa, Premier League 2015–16

NewcastleNewcastle United

Coloccini 38'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.7 to 0.6

Full time

Aston VillaAston Villa

Ayew 61'

Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 43%, draw 28%, Aston Villa win 29%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Newcastle and Aston Villa
NewcastleAston Villa
0.70.6
1Goals1
1.41.2