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Norwich City v Aston Villa, Premier League 2015–16

NorwichNorwich City

Howson 24'Mbokani 87'

Final score 2 to 0

Expected goals 0.6 to 0.2

Full time

Aston VillaAston Villa

Win chances: Norwich favored. Norwich win 44%, draw 27%, Aston Villa win 29%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 28. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Norwich and Aston Villa
NorwichAston Villa
0.60.2
2Goals0
1.60.9