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Southampton v Arsenal, Premier League 2015–16

SouthamptonSouthampton

Martina 19'Long 55', 90+2'Fonte 69'

Final score 4 to 0

Expected goals 1.8 to 0.9

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Southampton win 26%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 48%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Arsenal
SouthamptonArsenal
1.80.9
4Goals0
2.00.8