Southampton v Aston Villa, Premier League 2015–16
SouthamptonSouthampton
Romeu 73'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 2.5 to 0.8
Aston VillaAston Villa
Lescott 44'
- Date Saturday, December 5, 2015
- Premier League 2015–16
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 5. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Southampton favored. Southampton win 61%, draw 23%, Aston Villa win 16%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Southampton | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.8 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||