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Southampton v Swansea City, Premier League 2015–16

SouthamptonSouthampton

van Dijk 11'Sung-Yueng 54' (OG)Mané 61'

Final score 3 to 1

Expected goals 1.5 to 1.4

Full time

SwanseaSwansea City

Sigurdsson 83' penalty

Win chances: Southampton favored. Southampton win 54%, draw 24%, Swansea win 22%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Swansea
SouthamptonSwansea
1.51.4
3Goals1
1.51.3