Stoke City v Aston Villa, Premier League 2015–16
StokeStoke City
Arnautovic 51' penalty, 56'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 2.0 to 0.3
Aston VillaAston Villa
Bacuna 79'
- Date Saturday, February 27, 2016
- Premier League 2015–16
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 27. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Stoke favored. Stoke win 55%, draw 27%, Aston Villa win 18%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 27. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Stoke | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.3 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.3 | ||