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Stoke City v Chelsea, Premier League 2015–16

StokeStoke City

Arnautovic 53'

Final score 1 to 0

Expected goals 0.9 to 1.9

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Stoke win 29%, draw 27%, Chelsea win 44%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 7. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Stoke and Chelsea
StokeChelsea
0.91.9
1Goals0
0.72.1