Stoke City v Southampton, Premier League 2015–16
StokeStoke City
Arnautovic 52'
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 1.0 to 0.8
SouthamptonSouthampton
Pellè 11', 30'
- Date Saturday, March 12, 2016
- Premier League 2015–16
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 12. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Southampton favored. Stoke win 35%, draw 28%, Southampton win 37%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Stoke | Southampton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.8 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||