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Stoke City v Sunderland, Premier League 2015–16

StokeStoke City

Arnautovic 50'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.9 to 1.8

Full time

SunderlandSunderland

Defoe 90+4' penalty

Win chances: Stoke favored. Stoke win 48%, draw 26%, Sunderland win 26%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Stoke and Sunderland
StokeSunderland
0.91.8
1Goals1
0.82.0