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Stoke City v Swansea City, Premier League 2015–16

StokeStoke City

Afellay 13'Krkic 53'

Final score 2 to 2

Expected goals 0.7 to 0.6

Full time

SwanseaSwansea City

Sigurdsson 68'Paloschi 79'

Win chances: Stoke favored. Stoke win 49%, draw 26%, Swansea win 25%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Stoke and Swansea
StokeSwansea
0.70.6
2Goals2
1.41.2