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Stoke City v Watford, Premier League 2015–16

StokeStoke City

Final score 0 to 2

Expected goals 0.5 to 0.9

Full time

WatfordWatford

Deeney 43'Abdi 69'

Win chances: Stoke favored. Stoke win 50%, draw 28%, Watford win 22%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 24. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Stoke and Watford
StokeWatford
0.50.9
0Goals2
0.91.7