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Sunderland v Aston Villa, Premier League 2015–16

SunderlandSunderland

Richards 30' (OG)Defoe 72', 90+2'

Final score 3 to 1

Expected goals 1.0 to 0.4

Full time

Aston VillaAston Villa

Gil 63'

Win chances: Sunderland favored. Sunderland win 42%, draw 29%, Aston Villa win 29%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Sunderland and Aston Villa
SunderlandAston Villa
1.00.4
3Goals1
1.80.8