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Sunderland v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2015–16

SunderlandSunderland

van Aanholt 45+1'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.6 to 1.2

Full time

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Afobe 13'

Win chances: Sunderland favored. Sunderland win 42%, draw 26%, Bournemouth win 32%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 23. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Sunderland and Bournemouth
SunderlandBournemouth
0.61.2
1Goals1
0.91.8