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Sunderland v Liverpool, Premier League 2015–16

SunderlandSunderland

Final score 0 to 1

Expected goals 0.5 to 1.8

Full time

LiverpoolLiverpool

Benteke 46'

Win chances: Liverpool favored. Sunderland win 23%, draw 26%, Liverpool win 51%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Sunderland and Liverpool
SunderlandLiverpool
0.51.8
0Goals1
0.52.2