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Sunderland v Norwich City, Premier League 2015–16

SunderlandSunderland

Watmore 88'

Final score 1 to 3

Expected goals 0.5 to 1.4

Full time

NorwichNorwich City

Martin 26'Whittaker 37'Redmond 57'

Win chances: Sunderland favored. Sunderland win 61%, draw 19%, Norwich win 20%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 15. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Sunderland and Norwich
SunderlandNorwich
0.51.4
1Goals3
0.62.1