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Sunderland v Southampton, Premier League 2015–16

SunderlandSunderland

Final score 0 to 1

Expected goals 0.5 to 1.9

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Tadic 69' penalty

Win chances: Southampton favored. Sunderland win 25%, draw 25%, Southampton win 50%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 7. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Sunderland and Southampton
SunderlandSouthampton
0.51.9
0Goals1
0.52.4