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Swansea City v Arsenal, Premier League 2015–16

SwanseaSwansea City

Final score 0 to 3

Expected goals 0.4 to 1.5

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Giroud 49'Koscielny 68'Campbell 73'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Swansea win 20%, draw 22%, Arsenal win 58%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 31. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Swansea and Arsenal
SwanseaArsenal
0.41.5
0Goals3
0.52.2