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Swansea City v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2015–16

SwanseaSwansea City

Ayew 28'Shelvey 39' penalty

Final score 2 to 2

Expected goals 1.9 to 1.7

Full time

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

King 10'Gosling 26'

Win chances: Swansea favored. Swansea win 59%, draw 23%, Bournemouth win 18%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Swansea and Bournemouth
SwanseaBournemouth
1.91.7
2Goals2
1.51.3