Swansea City v Stoke City, Premier League 2015–16
SwanseaSwansea City
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 0.7 to 1.6
StokeStoke City
Krkic 4' penalty
- Date Monday, October 19, 2015
- Premier League 2015–16
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 19. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Swansea favored. Swansea win 45%, draw 26%, Stoke win 29%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Swansea | Stoke | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.6 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.0 | ||