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West Ham United v Southampton, Premier League 2015–16

West HamWest Ham United

Antonio 69'Carroll 79'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.5 to 1.5

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Jenkinson 13' (OG)

Win chances: Southampton favored. West Ham win 31%, draw 27%, Southampton win 42%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 28. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, West Ham and Southampton
West HamSouthampton
1.51.5
2Goals1
1.41.4