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Arsenal v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2016–17

ArsenalArsenal

Sánchez 12', 90+1'Walcott 53'

Final score 3 to 1

Expected goals 2.0 to 1.6

Full time

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Wilson 23' penalty

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 71%, draw 19%, Bournemouth win 10%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 27. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Bournemouth
ArsenalBournemouth
2.01.6
3Goals1
1.61.2