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Arsenal v Chelsea, Premier League 2016–17

ArsenalArsenal

Sánchez 11'Walcott 14'Özil 40'

Final score 3 to 0

Expected goals 1.1 to 0.9

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 53%, draw 25%, Chelsea win 22%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 24. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Chelsea
ArsenalChelsea
1.10.9
3Goals0
1.61.1