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Arsenal v Liverpool, Premier League 2016–17

ArsenalArsenal

Walcott 31'Oxlade-Chamberlain 64'Chambers 75'

Final score 3 to 4

Expected goals 1.3 to 1.6

Full time

LiverpoolLiverpool

Coutinho 45+1', 56'Lallana 49'Mané 63'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 54%, draw 25%, Liverpool win 21%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 14. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Liverpool
ArsenalLiverpool
1.31.6
3Goals4
1.11.6