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Arsenal v Manchester City, Premier League 2016–17

ArsenalArsenal

Walcott 40'Mustafi 53'

Final score 2 to 2

Expected goals 0.6 to 1.1

Full time

Man CityManchester City

Sané 5'Agüero 42'

Win chances: Man City favored. Arsenal win 35%, draw 28%, Man City win 37%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Man City
ArsenalMan City
0.61.1
2Goals2
1.01.7