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Arsenal v Stoke City, Premier League 2016–17

ArsenalArsenal

Walcott 42'Özil 49'Iwobi 75'

Final score 3 to 1

Expected goals 1.8 to 1.7

Full time

StokeStoke City

Adam 29' penalty

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 71%, draw 19%, Stoke win 10%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 10. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Stoke
ArsenalStoke
1.81.7
3Goals1
1.41.3