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Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur, Premier League 2016–17

ArsenalArsenal

Wimmer 42' (OG)

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.9 to 1.7

Full time

TottenhamTottenham Hotspur

Kane 51' penalty

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 48%, draw 27%, Tottenham win 25%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 6. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Tottenham
ArsenalTottenham
0.91.7
1Goals1
0.81.9