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AFC Bournemouth v Arsenal, Premier League 2016–17

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Daniels 16'Wilson 20' penaltyFraser 58'

Final score 3 to 3

Expected goals 1.5 to 1.4

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Sánchez 70'Pérez 75'Giroud 90+2'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Bournemouth win 22%, draw 24%, Arsenal win 54%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Bournemouth and Arsenal
BournemouthArsenal
1.51.4
3Goals3
1.41.3