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AFC Bournemouth v Southampton, Premier League 2016–17

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Aké 6'

Final score 1 to 3

Expected goals 0.9 to 1.1

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Bertrand 14'Rodríguez 48', 85'

Win chances: Southampton favored. Bournemouth win 30%, draw 28%, Southampton win 42%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Bournemouth and Southampton
BournemouthSouthampton
0.91.1
1Goals3
1.21.5