Burnley v Arsenal, Premier League 2016–17
BurnleyBurnley
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 0.6 to 1.7
ArsenalArsenal
Koscielny 90+3'
- Date Sunday, October 2, 2016
- Premier League 2016–17
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 2. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Burnley win 10%, draw 23%, Arsenal win 67%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.7 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.2 | ||