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Burnley v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2016–17

BurnleyBurnley

Hendrick 13'Ward 16'Boyd 75'

Final score 3 to 2

Expected goals 1.8 to 1.2

Full time

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Afobe 45+2'Daniels 90+1'

Win chances: Bournemouth favored. Burnley win 27%, draw 29%, Bournemouth win 44%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 10. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Burnley and Bournemouth
BurnleyBournemouth
1.81.2
3Goals2
1.81.0