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Burnley v Chelsea, Premier League 2016–17

BurnleyBurnley

Brady 24'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.5 to 1.6

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Pedro 7'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Burnley win 19%, draw 27%, Chelsea win 54%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Burnley and Chelsea
BurnleyChelsea
0.51.6
1Goals1
0.62.2