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Burnley v Crystal Palace, Premier League 2016–17

BurnleyBurnley

Vokes 2'Gudmundsson 14'Barnes 90+4'

Final score 3 to 2

Expected goals 1.9 to 1.9

Full time

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Wickham 60'Benteke 81' penalty

Win chances: Crystal Palace favored. Burnley win 23%, draw 32%, Crystal Palace win 45%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Burnley and Crystal Palace
BurnleyCrystal Palace
1.91.9
3Goals2
1.41.4