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Burnley v Everton, Premier League 2016–17

BurnleyBurnley

Vokes 39'Arfield 90'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.5 to 1.4

Full time

EvertonEverton

Bolasie 58'

Win chances: Everton favored. Burnley win 17%, draw 27%, Everton win 56%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 22. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Burnley and Everton
BurnleyEverton
1.51.4
2Goals1
1.51.3