Burnley v Southampton, Premier League 2016–17
BurnleyBurnley
Barton 78'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 0.5 to 1.3
SouthamptonSouthampton
- Date Saturday, January 14, 2017
- Premier League 2016–17
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 14. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Southampton favored. Burnley win 27%, draw 29%, Southampton win 44%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 14. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Southampton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.3 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 0.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.0 | ||