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Chelsea v Burnley, Premier League 2016–17

ChelseaChelsea

Hazard 9'Willian 41'Moses 89'

Final score 3 to 0

Expected goals 2.2 to 0.4

Full time

BurnleyBurnley

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 62%, draw 24%, Burnley win 14%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 27. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Burnley
ChelseaBurnley
2.20.4
3Goals0
2.60.3