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Chelsea v Liverpool, Premier League 2016–17

ChelseaChelsea

Costa 61'

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 1.1 to 1.2

Full time

LiverpoolLiverpool

Lovren 17'Henderson 36'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 42%, draw 27%, Liverpool win 31%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 16. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Liverpool
ChelseaLiverpool
1.11.2
1Goals2
1.31.4