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Chelsea v Southampton, Premier League 2016–17

ChelseaChelsea

Hazard 5'Cahill 45+1'Costa 53', 89'

Final score 4 to 2

Expected goals 1.4 to 1.6

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Romeu 24'Bertrand 90+4'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 57%, draw 26%, Southampton win 17%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 25. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Southampton
ChelseaSouthampton
1.41.6
4Goals2
1.21.5