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Chelsea v West Bromwich Albion, Premier League 2016–17

ChelseaChelsea

Costa 76'

Final score 1 to 0

Expected goals 0.6 to 0.3

Full time

West BromWest Bromwich Albion

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 66%, draw 23%, West Brom win 11%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 11. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and West Brom
ChelseaWest Brom
0.60.3
1Goals0
1.51.0