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Crystal Palace v Chelsea, Premier League 2016–17

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Final score 0 to 1

Expected goals 0.4 to 0.8

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Costa 43'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Crystal Palace win 23%, draw 27%, Chelsea win 50%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 17. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Crystal Palace and Chelsea
Crystal PalaceChelsea
0.40.8
0Goals1
0.91.7