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Everton v Arsenal, Premier League 2016–17

EvertonEverton

Coleman 44'Williams 86'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.3 to 1.0

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Sánchez 20'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Everton win 27%, draw 27%, Arsenal win 46%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 13. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Everton and Arsenal
EvertonArsenal
1.31.0
2Goals1
1.61.2