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Everton v Burnley, Premier League 2016–17

EvertonEverton

Jagielka 49'Mee 71' (OG)Lukaku 74'

Final score 3 to 1

Expected goals 2.2 to 1.5

Full time

BurnleyBurnley

Vokes 52' penalty

Win chances: Everton favored. Everton win 60%, draw 25%, Burnley win 15%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 15. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Everton and Burnley
EvertonBurnley
2.21.5
3Goals1
1.81.0