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Leicester City v Swansea City, Premier League 2016–17

LeicesterLeicester City

Vardy 32'Morgan 52'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 2.8 to 0.6

Full time

SwanseaSwansea City

Fer 80'

Win chances: Leicester favored. Leicester win 65%, draw 21%, Swansea win 14%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 27. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Leicester and Swansea
LeicesterSwansea
2.80.6
2Goals1
2.60.3