Liverpool v Arsenal, Premier League 2016–17
LiverpoolLiverpool
Firmino 9'Mané 40'Wijnaldum 90+1'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 2.1 to 0.7
ArsenalArsenal
Welbeck 57'
- Date Saturday, March 4, 2017
- Premier League 2016–17
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 44%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 30%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Liverpool | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.7 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||